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- Significant Latino population
- Small African-American population
deficit. It just didn't quite come together. Eighty-six percent of
blacks voted for Kerry, along with 60 percent of Hispanics. It just
wasn't enough.
Everybody else - Bush
older age groups gave Bush lighter majorities outweighing the
youth vote.
Over $50,000 - Bush
heavily for Kerry but his margins shriveled in the lower middle
class and reversed above that. The richest four percent of voters
elected Bush by a 3-1 margin.
- Slight Republican tilt
- Average Democratic loyalty
- Good Republican loyalty
- Independents tilt significantly Democratic
35% but that's not unbeatable, especially since independents
voted Kerry by 12 points. The margin however re-widens a bit
when one looks at loyalty numbers. Ninety-three percent of
Republicans voted for their man versus 90% of Democrats.
These aren't terrible numbers, especially for a western state, but
any lower Democratic loyalty is fatal in a state with a slim
Republican plurality.
vote for Kerry by 12 and liberals are a little more loyal to the
Democratic Party than conservatives are to the GOP.
- Sizable Catholic population
- Small Jewish population
mandate from the Protestants at 61% but it was Kerry taking the
Catholic vote by five points. A small Jewish population added to
that making it close.
- Large suburban population
- Significant rural population
normally vaguely unfriendly territory for a Democrat split even.
This would seem to bode well for Kerry but his urban majority
was rather light at 53%. At the same time, the rural areas,
despite being vastly outnumbered supported Bush at an even
higher rate than the national average.
About two-thirds of the population is in the Las Vegas area. Kerry
captured only a thin margin there. It was not enough to offset the
rural vote.