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Everybody else - Bush
in the middle ranks heavily. Kerry actually won 51% of the senior
vote. Pattern looks much like a redder version of New Mexico.
Everybody else - Bush
the poor. This would not be strange for the South but in the
Rockies, where economics often seemed to make less
difference, it was a bit unusual. The working class gave Bush a
small edge. The middle and working classes were a runaway for
the president.
- Significant Republican tilt
- Terrible Democratic loyalty
- Excellent Republican loyalty
- Independents split
Republicans here, but unlike many other heavily red states, that
advantage is not hopelessly large, nor is it backed by a big
"closet Republican" majority among independents, who split
right down the middle. The problem again was loyalty. The GOP
advantage became a washout due entirely due to defecting
Democrats. More than one of every five voted for Bush.
Meanwhile only one of every twenty Republicans abandoned him.
Of staunch red states, this one is intriguing and even hopeful. A
lower defection rate among Dems and a shift of the
independents would make it competitive. New Hampshire
provides a successful example of how this can be accomplished.
outvote them by even more. Interestingly, moderates are again
split.
- Sizable Catholic population
Catholics.
- Sizable urban population
considered urban. More surprising is that they voted for Kerry by
14 points. But this was swamped by eastern parts of the state
combined with non-urban western areas. There are very few
suburbs.
garners only 52%. Overall, despite a 20-point loss for Kerry,
there are signs of hope here.