Hawaii
4 votes
Kerry - 9 points
The last time this state voted Republican....
... "The Cosby Show" debuted on television.
Race
- Predominantly white
- Large Asian population
- Sizable population listed as 'other'
- Significant Latino population
Kerry won all racial groups, except the 22% who identified as
"other." Bush eked out a narrow win there.
Age
Seniors - tie
All others - Kerry
Kerry did best among the youth vote, winning 61%, but he won all
the groups except those over age 60, who were split down the
middle.
Economics
All groups - Kerry
Class didn't seem to have much effect on Hawaiians. All groups
voted for Kerry. No real pattern emerged but he did best among
the working class - a 20-point win - and poorest among those
making $50,000-$75,000, a two-point win.
Politics
- Low partisanship
- Large Democratic tilt
- Poor Democratic loyalty
- Good Republican loyalty
- Independents tilt somewhat Democratic
At 83% Hawaii Democrats are not very loyal to their party but
there are enough of them that it doesn't matter. Republicans are
outnumbered by 16 points here so even though they stick
together fairly well, its just no use. Forty percent of Hawaii is
Democratic and Kerry even took the independents by eight points
for good measure.
Ideology
- Significant liberal tilt
Hawaii liberals boast a six point advantage on conservatives.
Hawaii is one of only seven states to have more lefties than
righties and the only state west of
New York to do it.
Religion
- Predominantly Protestant
- Large Catholic population
Bush won the Protestants here by 20 points. But they are only
45% of the population here. Kerry scraped out a two-point win
among Catholics. Kerry's margin of victory then came from the
remaining non-Christian 25% of the state.
Demographics
-  Heavily suburban
- Large rural population
There is nothing in Hawaii classified as an urban area. But
paradise being a strange place, Kerry didn't need one. In fact his
margin of victory came from rural Hawaii, where he scored very
well. Hawaii was the only state west of
Vermont in which Kerry
won the rural areas, a virtually impossible feat outside the
Northeast. He also picked up a narrow win in the suburbs.

As noted above, the suburbs, that is Honolulu, where most of the
population lives gave Kerry the most trouble. He won there very
narrowly. The other, less populous islands gave him wide
margins.
Other factors
Hawaiians were split almost evenly over Bush's performance as
president but 53% of them did not like the war.


The Land of the Blue
Where centrism and progressivism meet