Georgia
15 votes
Bush - 17 points
The last time this state voted Democratic....
... NAFTA was signed.
Race
- Heavily white
- Large African-American population
- Small Latino population
Like elsewhere in the South, Bush won the white vote in a
cakewalk by a better than 3-1 margin. Here however he also
carried the Latino vote by 13 points. Kerry, of course, took the
black vote by a better than 7-1 margin.
Age
All groups - Bush
The older they were the more Republican. Bush took 52% of the
youngest voters and 64% of the oldest.
Economics
Poor and working class - Kerry
Middle and upper classes - Bush
Quite a sharp split here - one common in the South. Wide
margins of voters under $30,000 gave Kerry a huge boost. But in
the lower middle class the advantage shifts to Bush and above
$50,000 its a Republican landslide. Kerry's support was very
limited outside the bottom fifth of the economic totem pole.
Politics
- Average partisanship
- Significant Republican tilt
- Below average Democratic loyalty
- Excellent Republican loyalty
- Independents tilt significantly Republican
There are no positive signs here for Democrats. Republicans
hold a 42-34 advantage over Democrats. It's an advantage Bush
bolstered with a 21-point win among independents. As if this
news wasn't bad enough, the defection numbers reveal more
problems. Roughly one out of every 33 Republican voters broke
ranks to vote for the opposition. That number for the Democrats
was nearly one out of eight. As I said, no good news.
Ideology
- Strong conservative tilt
Better than two of every five Georgians are conservative. Only
14% are liberal. Interestingly, the moderates, who slightly
outnumber the conservatives, actually voted for Kerry by five
points. But that didn't stop the GOP steamroller.
Religion
- Heavily Protestant
- Significant Catholic population
Almost three quarters of the state is protestant. About a tenth is
Catholic. It didn't matter. They both loved George W. Bush by
wide margins.
Demographics
-  Predominantly suburban population
- Large rural population
- Significant urban population
Bush even won the urban areas here - though just barely. He
won by wide margins in the suburbs and rural areas. None of
this is a big surprise but the one interesting thing is that while
Bush won the rural areas he actually LOST the small town vote
which is rather uncharacteristic though it reflects a national trend
that showed Bush much weaker in small town America than in
outlying rural areas. This was definitely true in Georgia,
Michigan
and
Iowa. In Georgia, he scored 45% in small towns and 75% in
outlying areas.

Nearly 50% of Georgia's population is in the city of Atlanta or its
suburbs. Unfortunately for Kerry, they vote very differently from
each other. Atlanta voted for Kerry 2-1 but its suburbs voted
overwhelmingly for Bush - as did the rest of the state.
Other factors
Both the war and Bush are very popular here with 57% and 59%
approval ratings respectively.


The Land of the Blue
Where centrism and progressivism meet