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| Colorado |
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| 9 votes |
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| Bush - 5 points |
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| The last time this state voted Democratic.... |
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| ... four police officers were acquitted of beating Rodney King. |
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| Race |
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| - Heavily white - Small Latino population - Very small African-American population |
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| The white majority voted for Bush by 15 points. Everybody else voted Kerry by much larger margins but couldn't close the gap. |
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| Age |
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| Youngest voters - Kerry Everybody else - Bush |
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| Kerry posted a slight margin among 18-29 year olds but Bush won a similarly narrow margin among 30-44 year olds. Bush had slightly more comfortable margins among older voters but none were overwhelming. He won seniors by 13 points. |
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| Economics |
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| Poor and working class - Kerry Middle classes - Bush 150,000-200,000 per year - Kerry Richest voters - Bush |
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| Kerry's narrow margins among voters making less than $30,000 a year, were cancelled by Bush's wins in the middle classes. But Bush's upward trajectory on the income scale is interrupted by the $150,000-$200,000 per year voters who strongly supported Kerry, more strongly in fact, than any other group. The wealthiest voters however backed Bush by an equally secure margin. This aberration is also seen to a differing degree in California and Connecticut - among the $100,000-$150,000 voters - proving that cadres of rich "limousine liberals" on the low end of the upper classes do exist here and there but are far more the exception than the rule. |
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| Politics |
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| - Below average partisanship - Sizable Republican tilt - Good Democratic loyalty - Good Republican loyalty - Independents tilt somewhat Democratic |
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| There's good news and bad news here. The good news is that at 93% Democrats have pretty solid party loyalty, a fact unusual for a western state. Further, the independents voted for Kerry by seven points and there are more indies here than the national average. The bad news? Neither of these factors was enough to overcome a nine-point spread that favored the GOP and the Republicans loyalty matched the Democrats. The bottom line is that there is hope in Colorado - but only with a few more defecting Republicans or a bit stronger support from the independents. |
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| Ideology |
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| - Sizable conservative tilt |
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| Despite what you've heard about all the liberals skiing in Vail, the fact is that the ideological numbers in Colorado are vaguely comparable to those nationally - about a 13 point conservative advantage. |
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| Religion |
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| - Protestant majority - Significant Catholic population |
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| The Catholic minority (about 19% of the total), voted for Bush by six points but it was the Protestants who were the Kerry-killers here. They backed George W. by more than 30 points. Non-Christian demographics strongly backed Kerry but couldn't bring him in striking distance. |
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| Demographics |
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| - Predominantly urban - Large suburban population - Significant rural population |
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| Almost half of Colorado is classified as urban but Kerry only carried these areas by about seven points as most of them are smaller cities which were friendlier to Bush. About a third of the populace is suburban and Bush won them by eight points. He then finished off Kerry's urban majority in the rural areas which represent only a fifth of the state but which voted heavily for Bush. Bush support came primarily from the rural eastern plains and the rural western mountains. Denver and the central areas of the state were more partial to Kerry. |
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| Other factors |
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| People here favor the war by 10 points. They approve of Bush by seven points. |
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