Colorado
9 votes
Bush - 5 points
The last time this state voted Democratic....
... four police officers were acquitted of beating Rodney King.
Race
- Heavily white
- Small Latino population
- Very small African-American population
The white majority voted for Bush by 15 points. Everybody else
voted Kerry by much larger margins but couldn't close the gap.
Age
Youngest voters - Kerry
Everybody else - Bush
Kerry posted a slight margin among 18-29 year olds but Bush
won a similarly narrow margin among 30-44 year olds. Bush had
slightly more comfortable margins among older voters but none
were overwhelming. He won seniors by 13 points.
Economics
Poor and working class - Kerry
Middle classes - Bush
150,000-200,000 per year - Kerry
Richest voters - Bush
Kerry's narrow margins among voters making less than $30,000
a year, were cancelled by Bush's wins in the middle classes. But
Bush's upward trajectory on the income scale is interrupted by
the $150,000-$200,000 per year voters who strongly supported
Kerry, more strongly in fact, than any other group. The wealthiest
voters however backed Bush by an equally secure margin. This
aberration is also seen to a differing degree in
California and
Connecticut - among the $100,000-$150,000 voters - proving that
cadres of rich "limousine liberals" on the low end of the upper
classes do exist here and there but are far more the exception
than the rule.
Politics
- Below average partisanship
- Sizable Republican tilt
- Good Democratic loyalty
- Good Republican loyalty
- Independents tilt somewhat Democratic
There's good news and bad news here. The good news is that at
93% Democrats have pretty solid party loyalty, a fact unusual for
a western state. Further, the independents voted for Kerry by
seven points and there are more indies here than the national
average. The bad news? Neither of these factors was enough to
overcome a nine-point spread that favored the GOP and the
Republicans loyalty matched the Democrats. The bottom line is
that there is hope in Colorado - but only with a few more
defecting Republicans or a bit stronger support from the
independents.
Ideology
- Sizable conservative tilt
Despite what you've heard about all the liberals skiing in Vail, the
fact is that the ideological numbers in Colorado are vaguely
comparable to those nationally - about a 13 point conservative
advantage.
Religion
- Protestant majority
- Significant Catholic population
The Catholic minority (about 19% of the total), voted for Bush by
six points but it was the Protestants who were the Kerry-killers
here. They backed George W. by more than 30 points.
Non-Christian demographics strongly backed Kerry but couldn't
bring him in striking distance.
Demographics
- Predominantly urban
- Large suburban population
- Significant rural population
Almost half of Colorado is classified as urban but Kerry only
carried these areas by about seven points as most of them are
smaller cities which were friendlier to Bush. About a third of the
populace is suburban and Bush won them by eight points. He
then finished off Kerry's urban majority in the rural areas which
represent only a fifth of the state but which voted heavily for Bush.

Bush support came primarily from the rural eastern plains and
the rural western mountains. Denver and the central areas of the
state were more partial to Kerry.
Other factors
People here favor the war by 10 points. They approve of Bush by
seven points.


The Land of the Blue
Where centrism and progressivism meet