Arizona
			10 votes
			Bush - 11 points
			The last time this state voted Democratic....
			... "Jerry Maguire" grossed $150 million at the box office.
			Race
			- Heavily white - Significant Latino population - Small 'other' population
			Whites, who make up almost 80% of the state picked Bush by 18 points. The smaller minority populations voted Kerry by lesser margins.
			Age
			All groups - Bush
			Bush won all age groups, although he just barely captured the teen/twentysomethings group.
			Economics
			Working class - Kerry Poor and everybody else - Bush
			The economics here were strange. Bush won both the poorest and the richest Arizonans and he took the middle classes to boot. But those residing in the netherworld between poor and middle class ($15,000-$30,000) chose Kerry by a significant margin. Generally speaking though the poor and lower middle class were less hostile to Kerry than folks making more than $50,000 a year.
			Politics
			- Average partisanship - Strong Republican tilt - Average loyalty on both sides - Independents tilt slightly Democratic
			With independents voting for Kerry by six points, there are fewer closet Republicans here. Bush had to rely on the GOP numerical advantage for his margin. He could do just that however since Republicans outnumber Democrats by 14 points. Both parties had a tad less than average loyalty rates of 89%. Arizona is pretty straightforward. There are no complexities about defection rates and independent swings. There are just significantly more Republicans.
			Ideology
			- Strong conservative tilt
			Thirty-eight percent of Arizonans are conservative, a bit above the national average. Nineteen percent are liberal, which is a bit below it.
			Religion
			- Majority Protestant - Sizable Catholic population
			Two thirds of Protestants voted for George W. The nearly one quarter of the population that is Catholic also voted for him but by a much smaller margin.
			Demographics
			- Majority urban - Large suburban population - Significant rural areas
			A slight majority of Arizona's population is classified as urban. Kerry and Bush split this group dead even. The suburbs and the smaller rural population voted Bush.
			Other factors
			Most people here approve of Bush's job performance and the war, though by a bit less than some "dead red" states.

The Land of the Blue

Where centrism and progressivism meet