Alabama
9 votes
Bush - 26 points
The last time this state voted Democratic....
..."Rocky" was a top-grossing movie.
Race
- Heavily white
- Large African-American population
Race has always been a dividing line in Alabama and this
election was no exception. The differences were stark. An
astounding four of every five whites voted for George W. Bush.
More than nine of every ten blacks supported his opponent.
Whites make up about three quarters of the state's population.
Age
Bush across the board
No help here for Kerry. Every age group voted for Bush - and the
older they were the more strongly they did so. Fifty-seven percent
of the youngest voters supported Bush. Seventy percent of the
oldest did so.
Economics
Poor - Kerry
Working/lower middle classes - Slightly Bush
Middle class and up - Heavily Bush
The poorest ten percent of the populace actually broke
significantly for Kerry. But over half of Alabama voters are in the
working or lower middle classes and these supported Bush -
though not by devastating margins. The devastating blows fell
from the upper middle classes ($50,000-$100,000). These
make up almost 30% of Alabama's electorate and they voted for
Bush by almost 4 to 1.
Politics
- Highly partisan
- Strong Republican tilt
- Good Democratic loyalty
- Exceptional Republican loyalty
- Independents tilt strongly Republican
Party identification is high here with 82% of voters identifying with
one party or the other and the balance heavily favors the
Republicans. Almost half of all voters are Republicans while only
about a third are Democrats.

A less important factor is party loyalty. While Democratic loyalty
(92%) is higher here than it is nationally, GOP party loyalty is
almost Stepford-wiveish at 99%! No partisans from either party in
any state in the union matched the loyalty of Alabama
Republicans to their candidate.

As for the few Alabamans who call themselves independents,
they are closet Republicans. Two-thirds voted for Bush.
Ideology
- Strong conservative tilt
Liberalism goes begging here where righties outnumber lefties
almost 3 to 1. Even those who are liberal don't always vote like it.
Almost 3 of every 10 liberals supported Bush. Oddly, however
conservatives also sported a higher defection rate than the
national average, though not as bad. Almost one fifth supported
Kerry.
Religion
- Heavily Protestant
Protestants rule the roost here. More than four of every five
Alabama voters fall into that category. Three guesses who they
voted for.

Protestants are so dominant that no other group was even big
enough to register usable totals on the exit poll.
Demographics
- Mixed but predominately suburban
Even the quarter of the state classified as urban didn't really help
Kerry. It split even. From there it was down hill. The suburbs and
rural areas all provided crushing margins for Bush - generally
about 2 to 1. Bush's margin was a bit weaker in outstate rural
areas and somewhat stronger in small towns.
Other factors
Kerry was unlikely to do well in a state where 62% of the
populace approve of the Bush presidency (and of those a clear
majority "strongly" approve.) Moreover 3 of every 5 voters
approved of the war.


The Land of the Blue
Where centrism and progressivism meet